Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.272125 3.881060 4.602632 5.529388 6.700619 8.148574 1.010088e+01
2024-10-27 2.335938 3.049365 4.005993 5.416235 7.502238 10.576700 1.565947e+01
2024-11-03 2.031752 2.827681 3.989043 5.878639 9.025372 14.362011 2.487238e+01
2024-11-10 1.767931 2.580120 3.843165 6.062560 10.131323 17.906298 3.584923e+01
2024-11-17 1.597636 2.428633 3.794678 6.366331 11.519816 22.571609 5.258328e+01
2024-11-24 1.409427 2.209742 3.582518 6.310420 12.184537 26.062095 6.960898e+01
2024-12-01 1.278735 2.062943 3.462626 6.391080 13.156331 30.785212 9.536049e+01
2024-12-08 1.165712 1.927994 3.336917 6.423910 14.030515 35.784944 1.288821e+02
2024-12-15 1.099288 1.866115 3.336710 6.722735 15.680613 44.171632 1.914855e+02
2024-12-22 0.999632 1.728075 3.161799 6.582114 16.112993 48.960578 2.467029e+02
2024-12-29 0.927224 1.632840 3.059072 6.589186 16.981950 56.078546 3.367635e+02
2025-01-05 0.855110 1.529345 2.923019 6.482644 17.474910 62.198055 4.418904e+02
2025-01-12 0.805448 1.475323 2.908997 6.756727 19.589583 79.118078 7.648930e+02
2025-01-19 0.730650 1.362311 2.749951 6.617514 20.316590 91.036644 1.164546e+03
2025-01-26 0.708892 1.357196 2.838363 7.212138 24.241561 129.159633 2.816992e+03
2025-02-02 0.669474 1.307627 2.809876 7.449688 26.938027 166.463004 6.245634e+03
2025-02-09 0.641140 1.278564 2.826823 7.843002 30.736986 225.838924 1.838051e+04
2025-02-16 0.596159 1.205268 2.715869 7.770516 32.204372 268.645013 4.434082e+04
2025-02-23 0.562919 1.155363 2.658875 7.875102 34.806112 338.476952 1.683193e+05
2025-03-02 0.530838 1.104308 2.590139 7.917695 37.163817 420.396112 9.967256e+05
2025-03-09 0.512798 1.085186 2.607978 8.306038 42.241524 592.155488 1.760905e+08
2025-03-16 0.479219 1.023616 2.493076 8.123146 43.239181 689.787530 NaN
2025-03-23 0.454175 0.980969 2.427835 8.132339 45.798410 864.108934 NaN